23 States May Hold Primaries On February 5
Submitted by rob on March 13, 2007 - 11:58am.
A total of 23 states may hold primaries on February 5, 2008. By the end of the day as many as 50% of the delegates will have been chosen. The end of the long primary season is changing the game plans of all candidates as they figure out how to put their resources into the larger delegate rich states and to assess if Iowa and New Hampshire will have as much impact as they had in the past.
23 States May Hold Primaries On February 5
It could be detrimental to candidates with less money. That bothers me, but I still have to be in favor of the general trend. We cannot continue to have a small pool of people in two rural states (no offense to anyone rural - they just are not representative of today's America) decide you will be the President of the United States.
Money is the huge factor. The top two candidates will have their ad buys made before votes are cast in Iowa and NH. The rest of the field will not have the money unless they win overwhelmingly in one or both of those states and even then if they get momentum and are able to raise much longer amounts of money they will not be able to get on the air and on the ground in 23 states in just a few days.
__
Rob
BlueSunbelt.Com Progressive netroots for the Sunbelt
robwire.com My personal and political blog
to judgment will favor big money and insiders
and, country will not have fully vetted, battle-tested
nominees; rush to annoint joh kerry last time, & he
could not even beat bush
Bill (from RI)
since hardly anyone could afford, in time, money and resources, to effectively cover all of them. They will have to decide where to compete and concentrate. It is possible, in a weak field, the leader or a couple of leaders could lock up the lion's share of the delegates or in a strong field spread the bounty enough to get a doubtful or inconclusive result and, therefore, put into play the later primaries. Iowa and NH will still play their role as generator of a momentum or "wave" as SportyBabe describes it.
Two newcomers, Nevada and South Carolina, are also doing it prior to Feb. 5. Their influence will surely be speculated by pundits.
It becomes reasonable to organize some early presence in pre-targetted states to avoid running out of time which will surely bedeviled late starters. Limited resources, especially personnel and money, will force the majority to forgo several early primaries. With its huge number, California will see a wild dogfight among the leaders.
Depending on the results of Iowa and NH to generate cash will hardly affect Feb.5. Again, this forces an argument against late starting campaigns.
This challenging scenario, I am sure has not escape the attention of all candidates and candidates to be.
Contrary to this article, television and newspapers in our state have been told by candidates that it places more importance on New Hampshire and Iowa since the wave a winning candidate will be riding could carry them through February 5.
I happen to agree with this. We saw the Iowa tidalwave carry through New Hampshire. I trust the same wave will continue on through the next 23 and give the leading candidates a solid push.